NFL CONFIDENCE PICKS WEEK 1 NFL 09/09-12-13/2021

Welcome to our 10 th year doing these Confident picks.

VIKINGS:  Hall of Fame member. and Nebraska graduate Mick Tinglelhoff  died Saturday at age 81.  Tinglehoff played 17 years with the Vikings, starting 240 straight games, made 6 Pro Bowls,(1964-1969,) and 5 All Pro selection, (1964,65,66,68,and 69.  He was a member of the 1969 NFL Champion Team.  

 

 BUCCANEERS: Center Ryan Jensen draws 1st penalty for “TAUNTING”   Recipient of the TAUNT,  was Cowboys, DL Carolos Watkins.  Watkins slapped Jensen in the facemask (after the play), and got a penalty of his own.  It was whatever Jensen said to Watkins after the slap, that drew the “taunting penalty” ,  Sounds like a bad call to me.   Looked like Watkins was the one doing the taunting.  Any red blooded athlete would say somethng to his attacker.      DOES this put him in the “RECORDS BOOK”?

STEELERS:  SIGN CONTRACT WITH PR, (Pass Rusher) T.J.(Watt to a four-year extension worth over  $112 million with $80 million of it guaranteed at signing.

UPDATE: Week 15, two of five designated matchups will be played on Saturday with the remainder to be played on Sunday. Specific dates and start times for such designated Week 15 matchups will be determined and announced no later than four weeks prior to game day.

 Week 18, two games will be played on Saturday, one at 4:30 PM ET and one at 8:15 PM ET with the remainder to be played on Sunday afternoon at 1:00 PM ET and 4:25 PM ET, and one matchup to be played on Sunday night at 8:20 PM ET. Specific dates and start times for Week 18 matchups will be determined and announced following the conclusion of Week 17.

We probably will see several records toppled this season.  How will the NFL handle this?  With an extra game, beginning this season, means 1 more game to surpass records set by the likes of :

 Manning’s 5,477 yards. Manning’s 55 touchdowns.   Brees’ 471 completions.                  Dickerson’s 2,105 yards, Chris Johnson’s 2,509 scrimmage yards.                                              Calvin Johnson’s 1,964 receiving  yards. Thomas’ 149 receptions. Strahan’s 22.5 sacks.   Akers’ 166 points.   Luck’s 4,374 yards.

PERSONAL NOTE:  I still think the Colts erred by signing Carson Wentz.  If he stays healthy, I may be wrong,  But old habits are hard to break, and I think he will struggle correcting these.  Maybe the Colts coaching staff, have or will, succeed in breaking him of those bad habits.  I hope i am wrong.  (Except this week).  You regular readers are aware, I am a big Russell Wilson backer.  Regardless of what team he plays for. 

If you are only wanting the pick sheet just scroll down.

Here are the new rules for 2021 as I understand them at this time:

1. Eliminate overtime in the preseason

This one is self-explanatory. Any of the (now) three preseason games that end in a tie score will remain a tie. Previously, overtime rules in the preseason were the same as regular season rules. Regular season overtime will remain untouched, but there will be no overtime in the preseason anymore.

So much for this rule, as preseason is over.

2. Establishes maximum number of players in the “setup zone” during a free kick (kickoff)

This is a bit of an unknown rule, but in 2020, teams that received a kick had to have at least eight players lined up in what they called the “setup zone” up until the moment the ball is kicked.

For the receiving team, this “setup zone” is the space between 10 yards in front of the teed ball (the restraining line) and 15 yards in front of that. So if the ball is teed up at the 35-yard line (as usual on a kickoff), eight players on the receiving team had to be set up between the opponent’s 45-yard line and their own 40-yard line.

Here’s how it looked last year:

The rule change is simple. Prior to this rule change, eight was the minimum amount of players in this setup zone, but there was no maximum. Now there is a maximum of nine, meaning there needs to be at least two players outside of this zone for the receiving team.

Why? Well, the reason is simply listed as “Provides excitement and competition.” The real reason likely has to do with low conversion rates of onside kicks. Previously, teams would crowd this zone with at least 10 players to recover an onside kick. For example:

This is now an illegal formation. Two players will have to be beyond the 40-yard line, leaving fewer players on the receiving team to recover an onside kick.

3. Replay officials can now provide certain objective information to on-field officials

The NFL didn’t fully adopt a “sky judge” this time around but this was a bit of a compromise. Now the officials in charge of replay can assist on the following new rule applications without the need for a challenge:

  • Possession of the ball
  • Completed or incomplete pass
  • Touching of a loose ball, boundary line, goal line, or end line
  • Spot of the ball/player in relation to sidelines, line of scrimmage line to gain, or goal line
  • Down by contact (when not ruled down on the field)

These issues can still be challenged by a team, but now the on-field officials can consult with replay officials if there is a “clear and obvious” issue with the call on the field.

4. Ensure the enforcement of all penalties committed by either team on extra point/two-point conversion attempts

This rule simply adds these words to an already existing rule (new part is bolded):

If a foul results in a retry, Team A will have the option to enforce the penalty from the spot where it attempted the try (previous spot) or from the yard line for the other try option, the location of which is determined by any previously enforced penalty, if applicable.

I believe this simply means they will tack on penalties if they occur on back-to-back try attempts.

5. Add a loss of down to the penalty of a second forward pass

Previously, when a team committed a penalty for two forward passes on one play, the enforcement was simply a 5-yard penalty. Now teams will also incur a loss of down for the same penalty, in addition to the 5 yards.

This new rule addition also impacts the very rare occasion in which the ball crosses the line of scrimmage, then goes back behind the line of scrimmage, then a forward pass is attempted. That is still illegal, but it will now also incur a loss of down in addition to the 5-yard penalty.

6. JERSEY NUMBER CHANGES!

The NFL has limits on what positions can hold what numbers. The main purpose of this is to designate eligible receivers from non-eligible receivers. This year the NFL has loosened those restrictions but kept the eligible/ineligible designations intact. Here are the new legal numbers by position:

QB: 1-19
RB: 1-49, 80-89
TE: 1-49, 80-89
WR: 1-49, 80-89
OL: 50-79
DL: 50-79, 90-99
LB: 1-59, 90-99
DB: 1-49

One note on this rule: If a player desires to change numbers for the 2021 season, they will have to personally buy out the remaining stock of their jerseys from distributors, they want to change next year, they are not required to do so. This is a long-standing rule in the NFL, and it may cause players to wait a year to change numbers.

Amend Article XII, Section 12.4 of the Constitution and Bylaws to require clubs to submit tryouts and visits to the League office throughout the entire year; however, such transactions will only be reported to clubs from the start of training camp through the conclusion of the Super Bowl, unless it is with a Restricted or Unrestricted Free Agent.

For those of you who are new here. This is  how confidence ranking goes, let me explain.

If we were playing an office pool,(which we ARE NOT).  The object is to score the most points. To obtain the score YOU rank the teams by how confident you are a team will win its game.  EXAMPLE:  Say this week we have 16 games.  The team you are most confident will win you would assign the number 16 and follow down to the team you are least confident in and assign that number 1.   You add up the TOTAL CORRECT PICKS.. That would be your score.  We use the Monday night (Last game played) as a TIE BREAKER.  The tie is broken by the closest to the total (that is the COMBINED score of the two participating teams) final score, without going over.

YOU can adopt the scoring  described above.  Or, the optional method.  A  negative score for missed games.  We will continue to get a positive score for correct predictions.  EXAMPLE:   if you scored     1 pt on the first game and you had 15 pts on the second game and lost you would still have  1 pt.

1.  HOWEVER. with the same scenario new scoring system would result with a –14 score

If we were playing this is how my sheet would look;  My pick will be in bold Capital letters.  you can use circling, underlining, or highlighting.  I will show my correct points in Bold

I will fill in my picks Thursday.  Until then feel free to:

Just copy and paste for your own Fun Pool Use.  Or to see if you can beat me.

IF YOU SEE I MADE A MIS-COPY OF THE GAMES AND TIMES FEEL  FREE TO EMAIL ME AND TELL ME I GOOFED.

BYES: NONE

(All Times AST or erroneously known as EDT

GAME # TV VISITOR SCORE   HOME SCORE CONFIDENCE RUNNING SCORE
THUR 09/09//21 20:20
         
1 NBC Cowboys(0-0) 29 @ BUCANEERS(0-0) 31 16 16/16
   
SUNDAY 09/12/21 13:00
2 CBS JAGUARS  (0-0) 21 @ Texans( 0-0) 37 6 16/10
3 CBS Chargers (0-0) 20 @ WASHINGTON (0-0 16 15 16/5
4 FOX SEAHAWKS )(0-0) 28 @ Colts (0-0) 16 1 17/4
5 CBS Jets (0-0) 14 @ PANTHERS( 0-0) 19 10 27/6
6 FOX VIKINGS (0-0) 24 @ Bengals (0-0) 27 (OT) 5 27/1
7 CBS Cardinals (0-0) 38 @ TITANS (0-0) 13 7 27/6
8 FOX 49’ERS (0-0) 41 @ Lions (0-0) 33 14 41/8
9 CBS STEELERSs (0-0) 23 @ Bills (0-0) 16 12 53/20
10 FOX Eagles (0-0) 32 @ FALCONS (0-0) 6 8 52/12
SUNDAY 09/10//21 16:25
11 CBS Browns (0-0) 29 @ CHIEFS (0-0) 33 11 63/33
12 FOX PACKERS  (0-0) 3 @ Saints (0-0) 38 9 63/24
13 FOX BRONCOS (0-0) 27 @ Giants (0-0) 13 2 65/26
14 CBS Dolphins (0-0) 17 @ PATRIOTS  (0-0) 16 3 65/23
SUNDAY 09/10//21 20:20
15 NBC Bears (0-0) 14 @ RAMS (0-0) 34 13 78/36
MONDAY 09/11//21 20:20
16 ESPN RAVENS (0-0) 27 @  Raiders(0-0) 33 (OT) 4 78/32
GAMES
88 50%50% 57%/24%
Points Possible 136
Tie Break (Total score Last Game) 50
Total 60
Points Off -10

2 thoughts on “NFL CONFIDENCE PICKS WEEK 1 NFL 09/09-12-13/2021”

    1. Thanks, a lot. I was flipping through the channels and they were doing the pre game show. Then it dawned on me this was the first game and I hadn’t posted my picks. So I hurriedly did my math. Sorry. Glad to have people like you to catch my mistakes. Thanks a lot

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